Nascar Richmond Odds
NASCAR Cup Series: Federated Auto Parts 400 Saturday, September 12, 2020 at 7:30 p.m. ET (NBCSN) at Richmond Raceway The Playoffs Continue Last race — at Darlington — was the first race in the.
The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Richmond Raceway Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET for the Federated Auto Parts 400. Below, we analyze the Federated Auto Parts 400 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.
- (Odds Subject to Change) Handicapping NASCAR at Richmond Favorite Foursome. For the first time in nearly a decade, Busch isn’t the favorite to win at Richmond. William Hill books have been having Busch around 12/1 or 14/1 the last few races as he continues not to win, but for Richmond and his stellar record they dropped him down to 5/1 out of.
- See who's favored for the NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs' Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway, with odds provided by BetMGM.
- NASCAR iRacing returns with the Toyota Owners 150 at Richmond Raceway. Will Byron is the +225 favorite while Timmy Hill is top contender at odds of +500.
Federated Auto Parts 400: What you need to know
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:30 a.m. ET.
The NASCAR boys stop at Richmond for the first time this season, and it’s an important race as it’s the second playoff race. Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr. (+500 for Saturday’s race) has won each of the past two Cup races in Richmond.
Toyota has registered four straight wins at Richmond, and seven victories in the past nine stops with Chevrolet and Ford with one win apiece.Truex’s JGR teammate Kyle Busch (+800) swept both 2018 races at Richmond, and he has six victories in his career at the track. In 29 career starts at Richmond, he has 18 finishes inside the top 5, 1,484 laps led and a sparkling 6.79 Average-Finish Position (AFP) to lead all drivers.Virginia native Denny Hamlin (+400) is the chalk. He has three wins, 13 top 5s, 18 top 10s and a 9.15 AFP in his 27 career starts at Richmond. He also leads all drivers with 1,659 laps led.Who is going to win the Federated Auto Parts 400?
HAMLIN will be racing near his hometown of Chesterfield, Va., and he always seems to show out at Richmond. He and KYLE BUSCH are outstanding selections due to Toyota’s dominance over the past few years.
Busch has yet to win a race this season, but the defending series champ is at one of his favorite tracks. He won the Toyota Owners 400 in the Spring of 2018, starting from 32nd in the grid, the lowest starting spot for a winner in the 127 Cup races at Richmond.
TRUEX has the back-to-back wins at this track and has finished inside the top 10 in six of his past eight Richmond starts. His 10.3 AFP over the past 10 ranks seventh among all active drivers.
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If anyone is going to break the Toyota monopoly, it’s Penske Racing’s JOEY LOGANO (+700). He has posted two wins in 22 career starts at the track, while posting nine finishes in the top 5 and 12 results inside the top 10. His 11.14 AFP ranks fourth among active drivers.
Richmond Raceway long-shot bets
CLINT BOWYER (+3000) has registered four consecutive finishes inside the top 10 at Richmond, posting a 7.5 AFP during the impressive span. In 28 career starts, he has a pair of victories at Richmond while posting five top 5s and 16 top 10s with 393 laps led and a 12.5 AFP.
Everyone seems to overlook RYAN NEWMAN (+8000), but he just ticks off impressive results week in and week out. He ranks seventh among all active drivers with a 12.33 AFP, one career win, eight top 5s and 20 top-10 finishes in his 36 career starts at the short track. Four of those top-10 runs have come in his past six Cup starts, averaging a 12.7 AFP during the stretch.
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© Provided by CBS SportsNASCAR Cup Series driver Martin Truex Jr. brings out a caution after hitting the wall during the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
The 2020 NASCAR Playoffs will trim the field from 16 drivers competing for the championship to 12 in two weeks, but all 38 drivers at the 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 will be fighting to take the checkered flag at Richmond Raceway on Saturday night. The green flag drops at 7:30 p.m. ET and with just a 44-point gap between 16th and third position in the 2020 NASCAR standings, there will be a lot on the line when it does. Aric Almirola and Clint Bowyer are currently tied for 12th with 2,033 points and their battle could be an epic one over the next two weekends.
Almirola is at 25-1 in the 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 odds from William Hill, while Bowyer is listed at 50-1. However, points leader Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr., who won both races at Richmond last season, are the 7-2 co-favorites in the NASCAR at Richmond odds. Before locking your 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 picks, be sure to see the latest 2020 NASCAR Playoffs at Richmond predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven model at SportsLine.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
The model began the 2020 NASCAR season by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. It got off to a hot start on its NASCAR picks following the coronavirus hiatus as well, calling seven of the top 10 drivers at both Darlington races. Using the model, McClure also recommended an outright play on winner Brad Keselowski at 13-1 as one of his best bets at Bristol in May.
The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure also used the model to lock in an outright bet on Hamlin winning at 10-1 at Miami. At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season, and also identified four top-five drivers in the All-Star Race at Bristol. At the Daytona road course, the model called Chase Elliott's win and nailed three of the top four drivers. Anybody who has follow the model has seen huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the NASCAR at Richmond race on Saturday, Sept. 12, 10,000 times. Head here to see the complete projected leaderboard.
Top 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 predictions
One surprise: The model is high on Joey Logano, even though he's a 14-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Richmond odds from William Hill. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Logano enters Saturday night's race at third in the standings, but he's 27 points behind second-place Denny Hamlin and 46 points back from Harvick.
That means he'll need to work his way to the front of the pack to seek stage wins and an overall victory to start eating into that deficit. Luckily for Logano, he's had a lot of success at Richmond Raceway. He won the Toyota Owners 400 there in 2014 and 2017 and has earned a top-four finish there in four of his last six starts.
And a massive shocker: Martin Truex Jr., one of the Vegas co-favorites at 7-2, stumbles big time and barely crack the top five. There are far better values in this loaded field. After winning 23 times the last four seasons, Truex only made it to Victory Lane once during the regular season and then began the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs with a 22nd-place finish at Darlington last week.
Truex is now 57 points back of Harvick in the NASCAR standings and he'll have to start back in 14th at the 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400. Even with wins in each of the last two races at Richmond and a win at Martinsville earlier this season, Truex will have his work cut out to navigate past 13 other NASCAR Cup Series championship contenders at Richmond Raceway on Saturday night.
How to make 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 picks
The model is also targeting four other drivers with 2020 NASCAR at Richmond odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag, including a massive 50-1 long shot. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can only see who they are here.
So who wins Saturday's 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400? And which long shot stuns NASCAR? Check out the latest odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2020 NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard, all from the model that has crushed its NASCAR picks and nailed the Daytona 500.
2020 NASCAR Playoffs at Richmond odds (via William Hill)
Kevin Harvick 7-2
Martin Truex Jr. 7-2
Denny Hamlin 4-1
Kyle Busch 5-1
Brad Keselowski 17-2
Joey Logano 14-1
Chase Elliott 15-1
Aric Almirola 25-1
Ryan Blaney 25-1
Kurt Busch 40-1
Erik Jones 40-1
William Byron 50-1
Clint Bowyer 50-1
Jimmie Johnson 50-1
Matt DiBenedetto 60-1
Alex Bowman 60-1
Tyler Reddick 100-1
Matt Kenseth 100-1
Austin Dillon 100-1
Christopher Bell 100-1
Cole Custer 150-1
Ryan Newman 200-1
Chris Buescher 300-1
Bubba Wallace 300-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 300-1
John Hunter Nemechek 1500-1
Michael McDowell 2000-1
Ty Dillon 2000-1
Ryan Preece 2000-1
Daniel Suarez 2500-1
Nascar Richmond Betting Odds
Brennan Poole 5000-1
Quin Houff 5000-1
JJ Yeley 5000-1
Nascar Richmond Odds 2019
Corey Lajoie 5000-1