David Haye has backed Canelo Alvarez to squeak past Sergey Kovalev and win a light-heavyweight world title. Alvarez steps up to 175lb to take on the Russian in Las Vegas tonight and victory will. Boxing Junkie breaks down the Canelo Alvarez-Sergey Kovalev light heavyweight title fight at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas on November 2. Canelo is on a different level to the opponents Kovalev has fought before but the Mexican is a natural middleweight so Kovalev's size and power will be a threat. THE PREDICTION This will be a battle between the technique and speed of Canelo and the power of Kovalev.

• Canelo Vs Sergey Kovalev Prediction
• How Much Is Canelo Vs Kovalev

The WBC and WBA super middleweight titles are up for grabs when Canelo Alvarez and Avni Yildirim meet at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla. The fight card is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET on DAZN, with the title bout set to begin around 10 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Canelo-Yildirim odds, with boxing picks and predictions.

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Canelo vs. Yildirim: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

Canelo Alvarez: -5000 (bet $5,000 to win $100) Avni Yildirim: +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)

Alvares has an implied win probability of 98.04% with the -5000 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/50 or decimal of 1.02.

Canelo vs. Yildirim: Tale of the tape

Saul “Canelo” Alvarez

Canelo (54-1-2, 36 KOs) heads to South Florida as the overwhelming favorite against the Turkish challenger. He recorded an 11th-round knockout against Sergey Kovalev Nov. 2, 2019, and beat Callum Smith by unanimous decision Dec. 19, 2020.

He hasn’t lost in 13 straight bouts (12-0-1) since a majority-decision setback to Floyd Mayweather Sept. 14, 2013, and he has six KO/TKOs during the span with four unanimous-decision wins, a majority-decision, a split-decision and a split draw against Gennadiy Golovkin. “Cinnamon” weighed in at 167.6 pounds, 0.4 pounds below the limit.

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Avni Yildirim

Yildirim (21-2, 12 KOs) is looking to stun the world, a la Buster Douglas vs. Mike Tyson. He suffered a technical-decision loss to Anthony Dirrell Feb. 23, 2019, losing out on a chance at the then-vacant WBC strap. Like Canelo, “Mr. Robot” weighed in at 167.6 pound.

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Canelo vs. Yildirim: Odds, predictions and picks

There is no way to justify risking 50 times your potential return on Canelo (-5000) on the 3-way line. You’ll have to get really specific to make a profit.

You cannot even bet on a fight finish type, as Canelo by KO/TKO probably wouldn’t be a very good value anyway.

Instead, look to round group betting for a better play. If you are a little more adventurous, taking Round Group Betting 1, target ROUNDS 5-6 (+350) and ROUNDS 7-8 (+600) for the win by either fighter. If the fight ends anywhere from Rounds 5 through 8, you’ll be well ahead, although you will lose one end.

Or you could just go with Round Group Betting 3, and make a bet on ROUNDS 5-8 (+185) to nearly double up, and you need not pick a fight winner.

If you’re less adventurous, you could cross your fingers and look to Round Group Betting 4, taking fight finish in ROUNDS 7-12 (+250).

Lastly, it’s worth a small-unit play taking SAUL ALVAREZ TO WIN AFTER BEING KNOCKED DOWN (+1000). Perhaps Yildirim catches him with a surprise shot early. Canelo is going to win, so why not give it a try? Just don’t get crazy.

Canelo Vs Sergey Kovalev Prediction

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Boxing Junkie:

How Much Is Canelo Vs Kovalev

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